Will Arsenal win the Premier League 2025-26?

Based on live data, the current verdict is MAYBE with a 50% probability. Arsenal have 70 points from 33 games with 5 matches remaining. Their closest rival Man City has 70 points.

How many games does Arsenal have left in the Premier League?

Arsenal have 5 Premier League matches remaining in the 2025-26 season. They currently have 70 points.

What is Arsenal's win probability for the Premier League title?

Arsenal's current estimated win probability is 50%. This is calculated based on their 70 points, the 0 point gap to Man City, goal difference, recent form and remaining fixtures for both teams.

Where do Arsenal sit in the Premier League table?

Arsenal are level on points with Man City (position 2). Man City have 5 games remaining versus Arsenal's 5.

Built by@hsnzinho

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Premier League?

MAYBE

Anyone's race from here

0%probability

Arsenal and Man City are inseparable — same points, same goal difference, 5 games to settle it.

“Heart rate elevated. Standings vibrating.”

Share @hsnzinho

Next Match · GW34

Arsenal

Newcastle

01d

21h

22m

17s

Sat 25 Apr, 16:30 · Home

Trophy Hunt 2025–26

2 competitions still alive

Level on pts

UCL

Semi-finals

EFL

Magic Number

Any combination of Arsenal points gained and Man City points dropped totalling 16 clinches the title.

Arsenal pts

MCI max

Gap

level

Games left

The Numbers

Points

Max possible

Games left

Points needed

MCI max

Points gap

level

Goal diff

+37

Earliest clinch

GW37

Title Clinching Scenarios

Arsenal win 4 games and Man City drop 4 points from their remaining 5

POSSIBLE

Wins needed: 4

Rival drops: 4

Arsenal win 3 games and Man City drop 7 points

UNLIKELY

Wins needed: 3

Rival drops: 7

Arsenal win just 1 game if Man City drop 13 points

UNLIKELY

Wins needed: 1

Rival drops: 13

Remaining Fixtures

Arsenal

5 games

GW34

NewcastleH

25 Apr

GW35

FulhamH

2 May

GW36

West HamA

10 May

GW37

BurnleyH

17 May

GW38

Crystal PalaceA

24 May

Man City

4 games

GW35

EvertonA

4 May

GW36

BrentfordH

9 May

GW37

BournemouthA

17 May

GW38

Aston VillaH

24 May

Premier League 2025–2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Man CityMCI	33	21	7	5	+37	70
2	ArsenalARS	33	21	7	5	+37	70
3	Man UnitedMUN	33	16	10	7	+13	58
4	Aston VillaAVL	33	17	7	9	+6	58
5	LiverpoolLIV	33	16	7	10	+11	55
6	Brighton HoveBHA	34	13	11	10	+9	50
7	BournemouthBOU	34	11	16	7	0	49
8	ChelseaCHE	34	13	9	12	+8	48
9	BrentfordBRE	33	13	9	11	+4	48
10	EvertonEVE	33	13	8	12	+1	47
11	SunderlandSUN	33	12	10	11	-4	46
12	FulhamFUL	33	13	6	14	-3	45
13	Crystal PalaceCRY	32	11	10	11	-1	43
14	NewcastleNEW	33	12	6	15	-3	42
15	Leeds UnitedLEE	34	9	13	12	-7	40
16	NottinghamNOT	33	9	9	15	-9	36
17	West HamWHU	33	8	9	16	-17	33
18	TottenhamTOT	33	7	10	16	-11	31
19	BurnleyBUR	34	4	8	22	-34	20
20	WolverhamptonWOL	33	3	8	22	-37	17

Season Results

21W · 7D · 5L · 33 played

@ Man City

1–219 Apr

vs Bournemouth

1–211 Apr

vs Everton

2–014 Mar

@ Brighton Hove

1–04 Mar

vs Chelsea

2–11 Mar

@ Tottenham

4–122 Feb

@ Wolverhampton

2–218 Feb

@ Brentford

1–112 Feb

vs Sunderland

3–07 Feb

@ Leeds United

4–031 Jan

vs Man United

2–325 Jan

@ Nottingham

0–017 Jan

vs Liverpool

0–08 Jan

@ Bournemouth

3–23 Jan

vs Aston Villa

4–130 Dec

vs Brighton Hove

2–127 Dec

@ Everton

1–020 Dec

vs Wolverhampton

2–113 Dec

@ Aston Villa

1–26 Dec

vs Brentford

2–03 Dec

@ Chelsea

1–130 Nov

vs Tottenham

4–123 Nov

@ Sunderland

2–28 Nov

@ Burnley

2–01 Nov

vs Crystal Palace

1–026 Oct

@ Fulham

1–018 Oct

vs West Ham

2–04 Oct

@ Newcastle

2–128 Sept

vs Man City

1–121 Sept

vs Nottingham

3–013 Sept

@ Liverpool

0–131 Aug

vs Leeds United

5–023 Aug

@ Man United

1–017 Aug

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Arsenal win the Premier League this season?

Based on current standings, remaining fixtures and form, the live verdict is MAYBE (50% probability). Arsenal have 70 points with 5 games remaining, sitting level on points with Man City. This page updates every 5 minutes with live data.

How many points do Arsenal need to win the league?

Arsenal's magic number is 16. This means any combination of Arsenal points won and Man City points dropped that totals 16 will mathematically clinch the title.

How many games does Arsenal have left?

Arsenal have 5 Premier League matches remaining in the 2025–26 season, meaning a maximum of 15 points are still available to them.

What are the Premier League title race scenarios?

There are 3 key scenarios being tracked. Arsenal win 4 games and Man City drop 4 points from their remaining 5

Loading the numbers...

Built by@hsnzinho

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Premier League?

MAYBE

Anyone's race from here

0%probability

Arsenal and Man City are inseparable — same points, same goal difference, 5 games to settle it.

“Heart rate elevated. Standings vibrating.”

Share @hsnzinho

Next Match · GW34

Arsenal

Newcastle

01d

21h

22m

17s

Sat 25 Apr, 16:30 · Home

Trophy Hunt 2025–26

2 competitions still alive

Level on pts

UCL

Semi-finals

EFL

Magic Number

Any combination of Arsenal points gained and Man City points dropped totalling 16 clinches the title.

Arsenal pts

MCI max

Gap

level

Games left

The Numbers

Points

Max possible

Games left

Points needed

MCI max

Points gap

level

Goal diff

+37

Earliest clinch

GW37

Title Clinching Scenarios

Arsenal win 4 games and Man City drop 4 points from their remaining 5

POSSIBLE

Wins needed: 4

Rival drops: 4

Arsenal win 3 games and Man City drop 7 points

UNLIKELY

Wins needed: 3

Rival drops: 7

Arsenal win just 1 game if Man City drop 13 points

UNLIKELY

Wins needed: 1

Rival drops: 13

Remaining Fixtures

Arsenal

5 games

GW34

NewcastleH

25 Apr

GW35

FulhamH

2 May

GW36

West HamA

10 May

GW37

BurnleyH

17 May

GW38

Crystal PalaceA

24 May

Man City

4 games

GW35

EvertonA

4 May

GW36

BrentfordH

9 May

GW37

BournemouthA

17 May

GW38

Aston VillaH

24 May

Premier League 2025–2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Man CityMCI	33	21	7	5	+37	70
2	ArsenalARS	33	21	7	5	+37	70
3	Man UnitedMUN	33	16	10	7	+13	58
4	Aston VillaAVL	33	17	7	9	+6	58
5	LiverpoolLIV	33	16	7	10	+11	55
6	Brighton HoveBHA	34	13	11	10	+9	50
7	BournemouthBOU	34	11	16	7	0	49
8	ChelseaCHE	34	13	9	12	+8	48
9	BrentfordBRE	33	13	9	11	+4	48
10	EvertonEVE	33	13	8	12	+1	47
11	SunderlandSUN	33	12	10	11	-4	46
12	FulhamFUL	33	13	6	14	-3	45
13	Crystal PalaceCRY	32	11	10	11	-1	43
14	NewcastleNEW	33	12	6	15	-3	42
15	Leeds UnitedLEE	34	9	13	12	-7	40
16	NottinghamNOT	33	9	9	15	-9	36
17	West HamWHU	33	8	9	16	-17	33
18	TottenhamTOT	33	7	10	16	-11	31
19	BurnleyBUR	34	4	8	22	-34	20
20	WolverhamptonWOL	33	3	8	22	-37	17

Season Results

21W · 7D · 5L · 33 played

@ Man City

1–219 Apr

vs Bournemouth

1–211 Apr

vs Everton

2–014 Mar

@ Brighton Hove

1–04 Mar

vs Chelsea

2–11 Mar

@ Tottenham

4–122 Feb

@ Wolverhampton

2–218 Feb

@ Brentford

1–112 Feb

vs Sunderland

3–07 Feb

@ Leeds United

4–031 Jan

vs Man United

2–325 Jan

@ Nottingham

0–017 Jan

vs Liverpool

0–08 Jan

@ Bournemouth

3–23 Jan

vs Aston Villa

4–130 Dec

vs Brighton Hove

2–127 Dec

@ Everton

1–020 Dec

vs Wolverhampton

2–113 Dec

@ Aston Villa

1–26 Dec

vs Brentford

2–03 Dec

@ Chelsea

1–130 Nov

vs Tottenham

4–123 Nov

@ Sunderland

2–28 Nov

@ Burnley

2–01 Nov

vs Crystal Palace

1–026 Oct

@ Fulham

1–018 Oct

vs West Ham

2–04 Oct

@ Newcastle

2–128 Sept

vs Man City

1–121 Sept

vs Nottingham

3–013 Sept

@ Liverpool

0–131 Aug

vs Leeds United

5–023 Aug

@ Man United

1–017 Aug

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Arsenal win the Premier League this season?

How many points do Arsenal need to win the league?

Arsenal's magic number is 16. This means any combination of Arsenal points won and Man City points dropped that totals 16 will mathematically clinch the title.

How many games does Arsenal have left?

Arsenal have 5 Premier League matches remaining in the 2025–26 season, meaning a maximum of 15 points are still available to them.

What are the Premier League title race scenarios?

There are 3 key scenarios being tracked. Arsenal win 4 games and Man City drop 4 points from their remaining 5